Fixtures / EPL / 2026-11-07 17:30
Nott'm Forest – Man City
Home
20%
5.09 fair
Draw
23%
4.34 fair
Away
57%
1.75 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
0-1
Nott'm Forest – Man City
FINAL
Actual Result
3–1
Nott'm Forest – Man City
Expected Goals2.74
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.552%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
20.2%
→
19.7%
-0.6 pp
Draw
22.9%
→
23.0%
+0.2 pp
Away
56.9%
→
57.3%
+0.4 pp
Over 2.5
52.2%
→
51.7%
-0.5 pp
Both teams to score
51.5%
→
51.1%
-0.4 pp
Expected Goals
2.77 →
2.74
-0.03
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 19.7% | 5.09 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.34 | — | |||
| 57.3% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 80.3% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 19.0% | 5.27 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.44 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 81.0% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — |
Both halves
| 3.3% | 30.21 | — |
HT/FT
| 11.2% | 8.94 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.24 | — | |||
| 7.3% | 13.64 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.29 | — | |||
| 18.9% | 5.28 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.73 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.82 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 21.7% | 4.61 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — |
Total goals
| 93.8% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 75.9% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.16 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — |
1st-half goals
| 71.7% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — |
Home team goals
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.09 | — |
Away team goals
| 83.6% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — |
Both to score
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — |
Corners
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 37.3% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — |
Home corners
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.38 | — |
Away corners
| 80.1% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — |
Cards
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.15 | — | |||
| 19.2% | 5.2 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 80.8% | 1.24 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds