Fixtures / EPL / 2026-11-07 15:00
Fulham – Newcastle
Home
36%
2.74 fair
Draw
26%
3.83 fair
Away
37%
2.67 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Fulham – Newcastle
FINAL
Actual Result
1–1
Fulham – Newcastle
Expected Goals2.78
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.553%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
34.7%
→
36.4%
+1.7 pp
Draw
24.8%
→
26.1%
+1.3 pp
Away
40.4%
→
37.5%
-3.0 pp
Over 2.5
55.4%
→
52.8%
-2.5 pp
Both teams to score
58.5%
→
56.9%
-1.7 pp
Expected Goals
2.89 →
2.78
-0.11
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 36.4% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.83 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — |
Half-time result
| 27.1% | 3.68 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.17 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — |
Both halves
| 8.7% | 11.48 | — |
HT/FT
| 20.4% | 4.91 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 21.01 | — | |||
| 13.4% | 7.45 | — | |||
| 15.5% | 6.44 | — | |||
| 12.3% | 8.1 | — | |||
| 5.8% | 17.15 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.33 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — |
Total goals
| 93.5% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.34 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.92 | — |
Home team goals
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — |
Away team goals
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — |
Both to score
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — |
Corners
| 79.7% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.72 | — |
Home corners
| 76.6% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — |
Away corners
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — |
Cards
| 71.2% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 23.8% | 4.19 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds