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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-11-07 15:00

Arsenal – Hull

Home 64% 1.56 fair
Draw 24% 4.24 fair
Away 12% 8.13 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-0 Arsenal – Hull
FINAL Actual Result 1–0 Arsenal – Hull
Expected Goals2.25
Both teams to score36%
Over 2.539%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 52.8% → 64.1% +11.3 pp
Draw 28.7% → 23.6% -5.2 pp
Away 18.4% → 12.3% -6.1 pp
Over 2.5 31.2% → 39.2% +7.9 pp
Both teams to score 34.6% → 35.6% +1.0 pp
Expected Goals 1.96 → 2.25 +0.29
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.25
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.91 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.01 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

64.1% 1.56 —
23.6% 4.24 —
12.3% 8.13 —
87.7% 1.14 —
35.9% 2.79 —
76.4% 1.31 —

Half-time result

50.9% 1.96 —
39.7% 2.52 —
9.4% 10.68 —

Half-time double chance

90.6% 1.1 —
49.1% 2.04 —
60.3% 1.66 —

Both halves

21.6% 4.63 —

HT/FT

45.9% 2.18 —
4.3% 23.42 —
16.9% 5.9 —
16.8% 5.97 —
6.0% 16.67 —
5.6% 17.95 —

HT/FT double chance

83.9% 1.19 —
69.6% 1.44 —
27.8% 3.6 —
54.0% 1.85 —
53.5% 1.87 —
13.1% 7.63 —
37.5% 2.67 —
29.8% 3.36 —
30.9% 3.24 —

Total goals

89.3% 1.12 —
65.4% 1.53 —
39.2% 2.55 —
19.0% 5.25 —
34.6% 2.89 —
60.8% 1.64 —
81.0% 1.24 —

1st-half goals

67.6% 1.48 —
31.7% 3.15 —

Home team goals

81.2% 1.23 —
49.7% 2.01 —

Away team goals

43.7% 2.29 —
11.6% 8.66 —

Both to score

35.6% 2.81 —

Corners

71.8% 1.39 —
61.5% 1.63 —
51.1% 1.96 —
40.3% 2.48 —
31.5% 3.18 —
38.5% 2.6 —
48.9% 2.05 —
59.7% 1.68 —
68.5% 1.46 —

Home corners

83.7% 1.2 —
72.9% 1.37 —
59.6% 1.68 —

Away corners

41.4% 2.41 —
25.6% 3.9 —
14.5% 6.9 —

Cards

71.7% 1.4 —
53.7% 1.86 —
36.6% 2.73 —
23.6% 4.23 —
46.3% 2.16 —
63.4% 1.58 —
76.4% 1.31 —

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