Fixtures / EPL / 2026-11-02 20:00
Newcastle – Everton
Home
48%
2.07 fair
Draw
25%
3.96 fair
Away
27%
3.77 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Newcastle – Everton
FINAL
Actual Result
0–1
Newcastle – Everton
Expected Goals2.6
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.548%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
48.0%
→
48.2%
+0.2 pp
Draw
25.6%
→
25.3%
-0.3 pp
Away
26.4%
→
26.5%
+0.1 pp
Over 2.5
48.0%
→
48.5%
+0.5 pp
Both teams to score
51.1%
→
51.4%
+0.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.59 →
2.6
+0.01
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 48.2% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 25.3% | 3.96 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.77 | — | |||
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 74.7% | 1.34 | — |
Half-time result
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 18.8% | 5.32 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — |
Both halves
| 13.8% | 7.25 | — |
HT/FT
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 5.8% | 17.36 | — | |||
| 16.0% | 6.24 | — | |||
| 15.5% | 6.45 | — | |||
| 11.7% | 8.58 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 25.0 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.81 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.06 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — |
Total goals
| 92.4% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 72.7% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.77 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.66 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — |
1st-half goals
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.24 | — |
Home team goals
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — |
Away team goals
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.48 | — |
Both to score
| 51.4% | 1.95 | — |
Corners
| 79.1% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.34 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — |
Home corners
| 83.2% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 72.1% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — |
Away corners
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.59 | — |
Cards
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 25.5% | 3.92 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds