Fixtures / EPL / 2026-11-01 16:30
Liverpool – Arsenal
Home
28%
3.58 fair
Draw
26%
3.88 fair
Away
46%
2.16 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Liverpool – Arsenal
FINAL
Actual Result
0–1
Liverpool – Arsenal
Expected Goals2.59
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.548%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
29.0%
→
28.0%
-1.0 pp
Draw
26.0%
→
25.8%
-0.2 pp
Away
45.0%
→
46.3%
+1.2 pp
Over 2.5
48.9%
→
48.0%
-0.9 pp
Both teams to score
52.7%
→
51.7%
-1.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.64 →
2.59
-0.05
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 28.0% | 3.58 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.88 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — |
Half-time result
| 24.0% | 4.16 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.41 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.87 | — |
Both halves
| 5.8% | 17.39 | — |
HT/FT
| 15.4% | 6.51 | — | |||
| 5.4% | 18.38 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 30.96 | — | |||
| 11.1% | 9.0 | — | |||
| 16.1% | 6.21 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.14 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 23.53 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.77 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — |
Total goals
| 92.6% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.85 | — | |||
| 26.9% | 3.71 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — |
1st-half goals
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.87 | — |
Home team goals
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — |
Away team goals
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — |
Both to score
| 51.7% | 1.94 | — |
Corners
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 27.1% | 3.69 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — |
Home corners
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — |
Away corners
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — |
Cards
| 67.4% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 19.7% | 5.07 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 80.3% | 1.25 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds