Fixtures / EPL / 2026-10-31 15:00
Man City – Brighton
Home
61%
1.63 fair
Draw
19%
5.13 fair
Away
19%
5.2 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-1
Man City – Brighton
FINAL
Actual Result
0–1
Man City – Brighton
Expected Goals3.27
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.563%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
63.1%
→
61.3%
-1.8 pp
Draw
19.6%
→
19.5%
-0.1 pp
Away
17.3%
→
19.2%
+1.9 pp
Over 2.5
63.9%
→
63.5%
-0.4 pp
Both teams to score
58.7%
→
59.1%
+0.4 pp
Expected Goals
3.29 →
3.27
-0.02
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 19.5% | 5.13 | — | |||
| 19.2% | 5.2 | — | |||
| 80.8% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 80.5% | 1.24 | — |
Half-time result
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.53 | — | |||
| 11.9% | 8.4 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 88.1% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 71.7% | 1.39 | — |
Both halves
| 21.6% | 4.63 | — |
HT/FT
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 6.9% | 14.43 | — | |||
| 10.1% | 9.87 | — | |||
| 10.1% | 9.93 | — | |||
| 8.1% | 12.35 | — | |||
| 8.2% | 12.15 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.57 | — | |||
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 20.6% | 4.86 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.19 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.62 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — |
Total goals
| 96.2% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 83.1% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 16.9% | 5.91 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — |
1st-half goals
| 82.5% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — |
Home team goals
| 88.1% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — |
Away team goals
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — |
Both to score
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — |
Corners
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — |
Home corners
| 81.1% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — |
Away corners
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 21.3% | 4.69 | — |
Cards
| 72.7% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 25.5% | 3.92 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds