Fixtures / EPL / 2026-10-31 12:30
Chelsea – Man United
Home
45%
2.2 fair
Draw
23%
4.35 fair
Away
32%
3.17 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Chelsea – Man United
FINAL
Actual Result
2–0
Chelsea – Man United
Expected Goals3.16
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.561%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
42.4%
→
45.5%
+3.0 pp
Draw
23.6%
→
23.0%
-0.6 pp
Away
34.0%
→
31.5%
-2.5 pp
Over 2.5
60.9%
→
61.1%
+0.2 pp
Both teams to score
62.7%
→
62.1%
-0.6 pp
Expected Goals
3.15 →
3.16
+0.01
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.35 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 22.2% | 4.5 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 77.8% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — |
Both halves
| 13.3% | 7.52 | — |
HT/FT
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — | |||
| 6.0% | 16.61 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 30.86 | — | |||
| 15.3% | 6.52 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.86 | — | |||
| 13.1% | 7.63 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.42 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.59 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.48 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — |
Total goals
| 95.9% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 82.5% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 17.5% | 5.7 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — |
Home team goals
| 82.4% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — |
Away team goals
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — |
Both to score
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — |
Corners
| 77.8% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 31.7% | 3.16 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — |
Home corners
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — |
Away corners
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — |
Cards
| 81.5% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds