Fixtures / EPL / 2026-10-25 14:00
Man United – Bournemouth
Home
47%
2.11 fair
Draw
23%
4.26 fair
Away
29%
3.44 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Man United – Bournemouth
FINAL
Actual Result
0–3
Man United – Bournemouth
Expected Goals2.98
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.557%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
46.6%
→
47.5%
+0.9 pp
Draw
24.2%
→
23.5%
-0.7 pp
Away
29.2%
→
29.1%
-0.2 pp
Over 2.5
57.1%
→
56.8%
-0.2 pp
Both teams to score
59.4%
→
59.1%
-0.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.98 →
2.98
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.26 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.44 | — | |||
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 35.0% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 20.6% | 4.86 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 79.4% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — |
Both halves
| 13.9% | 7.21 | — |
HT/FT
| 27.1% | 3.7 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.05 | — | |||
| 17.8% | 5.63 | — | |||
| 13.8% | 7.25 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.78 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.52 | — | |||
| 13.5% | 7.42 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — |
Total goals
| 95.2% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 20.5% | 4.88 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — |
1st-half goals
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.53 | — |
Home team goals
| 82.0% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — |
Away team goals
| 72.2% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.76 | — |
Both to score
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — |
Corners
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — |
Home corners
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — |
Away corners
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — |
Cards
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 31.7% | 3.16 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds