Fixtures / EPL / 2026-10-25 14:00
Liverpool – Brighton
Home
46%
2.16 fair
Draw
23%
4.31 fair
Away
30%
3.28 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Liverpool – Brighton
FINAL
Actual Result
2–0
Liverpool – Brighton
Expected Goals3.19
Both teams to score63%
Over 2.561%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
50.2%
→
46.3%
-3.9 pp
Draw
22.5%
→
23.2%
+0.7 pp
Away
27.3%
→
30.5%
+3.2 pp
Over 2.5
62.1%
→
61.5%
-0.6 pp
Both teams to score
62.4%
→
62.6%
+0.2 pp
Expected Goals
3.21 →
3.19
-0.02
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.31 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.16 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 80.6% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — |
Both halves
| 14.0% | 7.15 | — |
HT/FT
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 7.4% | 13.55 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 27.62 | — | |||
| 11.8% | 8.49 | — | |||
| 12.3% | 8.14 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.87 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.17 | — | |||
| 14.1% | 7.07 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 64.3% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.49 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.41 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — |
Total goals
| 95.9% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 82.3% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 17.7% | 5.65 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — |
1st-half goals
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — |
Home team goals
| 83.3% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — |
Away team goals
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — |
Both to score
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — |
Corners
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.55 | — |
Home corners
| 80.1% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 67.4% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — |
Away corners
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.68 | — |
Cards
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds