Fixtures / EPL / 2026-10-24 14:00
Arsenal – Everton
Home
65%
1.53 fair
Draw
23%
4.44 fair
Away
12%
8.19 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Arsenal – Everton
FINAL
Actual Result
2–0
Arsenal – Everton
Expected Goals2.34
Both teams to score37%
Over 2.541%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
63.7%
→
65.3%
+1.6 pp
Draw
23.6%
→
22.5%
-1.1 pp
Away
12.7%
→
12.2%
-0.5 pp
Over 2.5
40.9%
→
41.3%
+0.4 pp
Both teams to score
37.4%
→
37.2%
-0.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.31 →
2.34
+0.03
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.44 | — | |||
| 12.2% | 8.19 | — | |||
| 87.8% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 43.0% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 10.7% | 9.38 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 89.3% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — |
Both halves
| 22.6% | 4.42 | — |
HT/FT
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.17 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.1 | — | |||
| 15.9% | 6.28 | — | |||
| 6.0% | 16.75 | — | |||
| 3.0% | 32.89 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.15 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 82.6% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.82 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.79 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — |
Total goals
| 90.3% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.81 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — |
1st-half goals
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.28 | — |
Home team goals
| 82.5% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — |
Away team goals
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 11.9% | 8.38 | — |
Both to score
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — |
Corners
| 71.2% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — |
Home corners
| 83.0% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — |
Away corners
| 40.7% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 24.7% | 4.05 | — | |||
| 13.9% | 7.22 | — |
Cards
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 19.8% | 5.06 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 80.2% | 1.25 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds