Aston Villa – Man City
Home
23%
4.26 fair
Draw
23%
4.37 fair
Away
54%
1.86 fair
Expected Goals2.98
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.557%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 23.5% | 4.26 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.37 | — | |||
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 17.6% | 5.69 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 82.4% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — |
Both halves
| 4.7% | 21.51 | — |
HT/FT
| 11.4% | 8.78 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.71 | — | |||
| 10.0% | 9.99 | — | |||
| 13.1% | 7.62 | — | |||
| 16.0% | 6.25 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 17.09 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.83 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.31 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.22 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — |
Total goals
| 94.8% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.9 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — |
1st-half goals
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — |
Home team goals
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.17 | — |
Away team goals
| 84.0% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — |
Both to score
| 57.0% | 1.75 | — |
Corners
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — |
Home corners
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.38 | — |
Away corners
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.08 | — |
Cards
| 72.2% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.04 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds