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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-10-18 15:30

Nott'm Forest – Arsenal

Home 18% 5.55 fair
Draw 24% 4.15 fair
Away 58% 1.73 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 0-1 Nott'm Forest – Arsenal
FINAL Actual Result 0–1 Nott'm Forest – Arsenal
Expected Goals2.44
Both teams to score44%
Over 2.544%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 18.1% → 18.0% -0.1 pp
Draw 24.5% → 24.1% -0.4 pp
Away 57.4% → 57.9% +0.4 pp
Over 2.5 43.6% → 44.0% +0.5 pp
Both teams to score 44.1% → 44.1% -0.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.42 → 2.44 +0.02
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 0-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.44
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.46 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.78 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

18.0% 5.55 —
24.1% 4.15 —
57.9% 1.73 —
42.1% 2.37 —
82.0% 1.22 —
75.9% 1.32 —

Half-time result

17.1% 5.84 —
45.1% 2.22 —
37.8% 2.64 —

Half-time double chance

62.2% 1.61 —
82.9% 1.21 —
54.9% 1.82 —

HT/FT

9.8% 10.16 —
4.5% 22.37 —
7.3% 13.61 —
16.1% 6.23 —
21.7% 4.61 —
3.6% 27.78 —
33.4% 3.0 —

HT/FT double chance

37.7% 2.65 —
41.7% 2.4 —
45.0% 2.22 —
18.8% 5.33 —
46.9% 2.13 —
44.2% 2.26 —
27.8% 3.59 —
63.2% 1.58 —
74.7% 1.34 —

Total goals

91.3% 1.09 —
69.6% 1.44 —
44.0% 2.27 —
23.0% 4.35 —
30.4% 3.29 —
56.0% 1.79 —
77.0% 1.3 —

1st-half goals

64.2% 1.56 —
27.4% 3.65 —

Home team goals

54.7% 1.83 —
19.2% 5.21 —

Away team goals

80.7% 1.24 —
48.7% 2.05 —

Both to score

44.1% 2.27 —

Corners

68.2% 1.47 —
56.8% 1.76 —
45.7% 2.19 —
35.7% 2.8 —
27.0% 3.71 —
43.2% 2.32 —
54.3% 1.84 —
64.3% 1.56 —
73.0% 1.37 —

Home corners

47.4% 2.11 —
30.4% 3.29 —
18.5% 5.41 —

Away corners

77.1% 1.3 —
63.6% 1.57 —
49.7% 2.01 —

Cards

68.2% 1.47 —
49.6% 2.02 —
33.5% 2.99 —
20.6% 4.84 —
50.4% 1.98 —
66.5% 1.5 —
79.4% 1.26 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds