Fixtures / EPL / 2026-10-18 13:00
Leeds – Man United
Home
35%
2.87 fair
Draw
25%
3.93 fair
Away
40%
2.52 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Leeds – Man United
FINAL
Actual Result
1–1
Leeds – Man United
Expected Goals2.81
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.553%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
34.6%
→
34.9%
+0.3 pp
Draw
25.1%
→
25.5%
+0.4 pp
Away
40.3%
→
39.6%
-0.7 pp
Over 2.5
53.5%
→
53.0%
-0.5 pp
Both teams to score
57.3%
→
56.9%
-0.4 pp
Expected Goals
2.83 →
2.81
-0.02
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 34.9% | 2.87 | — | |||
| 25.5% | 3.93 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — |
Half-time result
| 34.3% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 16.2% | 6.18 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 83.8% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — |
Both halves
| 8.6% | 11.7 | — |
HT/FT
| 21.4% | 4.68 | — | |||
| 7.8% | 12.9 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.31 | — | |||
| 12.5% | 7.98 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.56 | — | |||
| 21.7% | 4.6 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.85 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.07 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 28.1% | 3.55 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 52.2% | 1.92 | — |
Total goals
| 93.9% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 77.3% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.22 | — | |||
| 22.7% | 4.4 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — |
1st-half goals
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.74 | — |
Home team goals
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — |
Away team goals
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — |
Both to score
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — |
Corners
| 72.7% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — |
Home corners
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — |
Away corners
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — |
Cards
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.37 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds