Fixtures / EPL / 2026-10-18 13:00
Brighton – Crystal Palace
Home
56%
1.79 fair
Draw
23%
4.33 fair
Away
21%
4.73 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Brighton – Crystal Palace
FINAL
Actual Result
5–0
Brighton – Crystal Palace
Expected Goals2.88
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.555%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
55.6%
→
55.8%
+0.1 pp
Draw
22.5%
→
23.1%
+0.6 pp
Away
21.9%
→
21.2%
-0.7 pp
Over 2.5
54.7%
→
55.2%
+0.4 pp
Both teams to score
54.2%
→
54.7%
+0.5 pp
Expected Goals
2.87 →
2.88
+0.01
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.33 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.73 | — | |||
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 20.5% | 4.88 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — |
Both halves
| 18.6% | 5.37 | — |
HT/FT
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.55 | — | |||
| 16.5% | 6.06 | — | |||
| 13.6% | 7.37 | — | |||
| 7.0% | 14.31 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.49 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.69 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 23.7% | 4.22 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — |
Total goals
| 94.3% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 78.4% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.63 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — |
1st-half goals
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — |
Home team goals
| 84.2% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — |
Away team goals
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.54 | — |
Both to score
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — |
Corners
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — |
Home corners
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — |
Away corners
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.11 | — |
Cards
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 27.1% | 3.69 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds