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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-10-18 13:00

Bournemouth – Sunderland

Home 47% 2.15 fair
Draw 26% 3.82 fair
Away 27% 3.66 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Bournemouth – Sunderland
FINAL Actual Result 2–0 Bournemouth – Sunderland
Expected Goals2.58
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.547%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 46.3% → 46.5% +0.3 pp
Draw 26.0% → 26.2% +0.1 pp
Away 27.7% → 27.3% -0.4 pp
Over 2.5 47.4% → 47.1% -0.3 pp
Both teams to score 51.1% → 51.3% +0.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.56 → 2.58 +0.02
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.58
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.0 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.5 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

46.5% 2.15 —
26.2% 3.82 —
27.3% 3.66 —
72.7% 1.38 —
53.5% 1.87 —
73.9% 1.35 —

Half-time result

39.2% 2.55 —
44.8% 2.23 —
15.9% 6.28 —

Half-time double chance

84.1% 1.19 —
60.8% 1.65 —
55.2% 1.81 —

Both halves

13.1% 7.62 —

HT/FT

29.6% 3.38 —
6.9% 14.47 —
15.4% 6.49 —
15.8% 6.31 —
13.6% 7.36 —
3.4% 29.41 —
11.0% 9.07 —

HT/FT double chance

67.8% 1.48 —
61.3% 1.63 —
39.1% 2.56 —
41.4% 2.41 —
44.9% 2.23 —
24.0% 4.16 —
36.1% 2.77 —
41.5% 2.41 —
43.9% 2.28 —

Total goals

92.4% 1.08 —
73.0% 1.37 —
47.1% 2.12 —
25.5% 3.93 —
27.0% 3.71 —
52.9% 1.89 —
74.5% 1.34 —

1st-half goals

63.6% 1.57 —
26.6% 3.76 —

Home team goals

77.5% 1.29 —
44.1% 2.27 —

Away team goals

66.3% 1.51 —
29.5% 3.39 —

Both to score

51.3% 1.95 —

Corners

72.8% 1.37 —
62.7% 1.6 —
51.7% 1.93 —
41.5% 2.41 —
31.8% 3.14 —
37.3% 2.68 —
48.3% 2.07 —
58.5% 1.71 —
68.2% 1.47 —

Home corners

76.6% 1.31 —
63.4% 1.58 —
48.8% 2.05 —

Away corners

56.8% 1.76 —
40.3% 2.48 —
26.8% 3.74 —

Cards

77.4% 1.29 —
61.3% 1.63 —
44.9% 2.23 —
31.3% 3.19 —
38.7% 2.58 —
55.1% 1.81 —
68.7% 1.46 —

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