Fixtures / EPL / 2026-10-17 14:00
Brentford – Liverpool
Home
36%
2.8 fair
Draw
24%
4.19 fair
Away
40%
2.47 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Brentford – Liverpool
FINAL
Actual Result
1–2
Brentford – Liverpool
Expected Goals3.09
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.560%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
34.1%
→
35.8%
+1.7 pp
Draw
23.7%
→
23.8%
+0.1 pp
Away
42.2%
→
40.4%
-1.8 pp
Over 2.5
59.5%
→
59.7%
+0.2 pp
Both teams to score
61.6%
→
62.0%
+0.4 pp
Expected Goals
3.08 →
3.09
+0.01
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 35.8% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 23.8% | 4.19 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 29.6% | 3.38 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.44 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — |
Both halves
| 8.9% | 11.29 | — |
HT/FT
| 20.4% | 4.9 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 17.09 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.03 | — | |||
| 12.9% | 7.75 | — | |||
| 13.1% | 7.63 | — | |||
| 15.3% | 6.52 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.49 | — | |||
| 21.8% | 4.6 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 33.3% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.82 | — |
Total goals
| 95.3% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 81.3% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 18.7% | 5.34 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — |
Home team goals
| 77.3% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — |
Away team goals
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — |
Both to score
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — |
Corners
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — |
Home corners
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.57 | — |
Away corners
| 81.4% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 69.3% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.78 | — |
Cards
| 69.4% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.67 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds