Fixtures / EPL / 2026-10-17 11:30
Everton – Chelsea
Home
35%
2.87 fair
Draw
27%
3.71 fair
Away
38%
2.62 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Everton – Chelsea
FINAL
Actual Result
0–2
Everton – Chelsea
Expected Goals2.6
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.548%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
35.7%
→
34.9%
-0.8 pp
Draw
26.6%
→
26.9%
+0.3 pp
Away
37.7%
→
38.2%
+0.5 pp
Over 2.5
46.4%
→
47.9%
+1.5 pp
Both teams to score
51.5%
→
53.0%
+1.6 pp
Expected Goals
2.52 →
2.6
+0.08
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 34.9% | 2.87 | — | |||
| 26.9% | 3.71 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — |
Half-time result
| 29.1% | 3.44 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — |
Both halves
| 8.3% | 12.0 | — |
HT/FT
| 20.5% | 4.87 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 17.04 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.86 | — | |||
| 16.5% | 6.06 | — | |||
| 15.3% | 6.53 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.83 | — | |||
| 20.2% | 4.96 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.07 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 33.3% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — |
Total goals
| 92.5% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.77 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — |
1st-half goals
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — |
Home team goals
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — |
Away team goals
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — |
Both to score
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — |
Corners
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — |
Home corners
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — |
Away corners
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — |
Cards
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.32 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds