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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-11-28

Sampdoria – Cremonese

Home 26% 3.79 fair
Draw 28% 3.57 fair
Away 46% 2.19 fair
Expected Goals2.28
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score45%
Over 2.540%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 28.7% → 26.4% -2.3 pp
Draw 27.7% → 28.0% +0.3 pp
Away 43.6% → 45.6% +2.0 pp
Over 2.5 40.1% → 39.6% -0.5 pp
Both teams to score 45.4% → 45.3% -0.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.28 → 2.28 0.0
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 0-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.28
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.72 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.26 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

26.4% 3.79 —
28.0% 3.57 —
45.6% 2.19 —
54.4% 1.84 —
73.6% 1.36 —
72.0% 1.39 —

Half-time result

25.7% 3.89 —
45.3% 2.21 —
29.0% 3.44 —

Half-time double chance

71.0% 1.41 —
74.3% 1.35 —
54.7% 1.83 —

Both halves

4.9% 20.49 —

HT/FT

17.0% 5.87 —
6.0% 16.56 —
8.5% 11.72 —
18.5% 5.4 —
18.2% 5.49 —
3.4% 29.15 —
24.8% 4.04 —

HT/FT double chance

50.1% 1.99 —
46.4% 2.16 —
45.4% 2.2 —
27.4% 3.65 —
45.3% 2.21 —
36.8% 2.71 —
31.3% 3.19 —
52.3% 1.91 —
64.9% 1.54 —

Total goals

89.6% 1.12 —
66.6% 1.5 —
39.6% 2.52 —
19.6% 5.1 —
33.4% 3.0 —
60.4% 1.66 —
80.4% 1.24 —

1st-half goals

65.4% 1.53 —
29.1% 3.44 —

Home team goals

61.2% 1.63 —
24.6% 4.07 —

Away team goals

73.7% 1.36 —
38.4% 2.6 —

Both to score

45.3% 2.21 —

Corners

60.8% 1.65 —
48.8% 2.05 —
37.9% 2.64 —
28.1% 3.55 —
20.1% 4.98 —
51.1% 1.96 —
62.1% 1.61 —
71.9% 1.39 —
79.9% 1.25 —

Home corners

63.3% 1.58 —
46.6% 2.14 —
32.2% 3.1 —

Away corners

56.2% 1.78 —
39.2% 2.55 —
25.3% 3.95 —

Cards

86.8% 1.15 —
73.3% 1.36 —
57.6% 1.74 —
42.4% 2.36 —
26.7% 3.74 —
42.4% 2.36 —
57.6% 1.73 —

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