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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-11-28

Palermo – Benevento

Home 52% 1.91 fair
Draw 25% 3.98 fair
Away 23% 4.44 fair
Expected Goals2.56
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.547%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 53.4% → 52.3% -1.1 pp
Draw 25.8% → 25.1% -0.7 pp
Away 20.8% → 22.5% +1.7 pp
Over 2.5 43.3% → 47.1% +3.8 pp
Both teams to score 45.1% → 49.1% +4.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.41 → 2.56 +0.15
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.56
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.21 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.02 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

52.3% 1.91 —
25.1% 3.98 —
22.5% 4.44 —
77.5% 1.29 —
47.6% 2.1 —
74.9% 1.34 —

Half-time result

25.8% 3.87 —
55.4% 1.81 —
18.8% 5.33 —

Half-time double chance

81.2% 1.23 —
74.2% 1.35 —
44.6% 2.24 —

Both halves

13.1% 7.66 —

HT/FT

21.4% 4.66 —
3.4% 29.76 —
27.1% 3.69 —
17.2% 5.83 —
11.1% 9.01 —
3.8% 26.6 —
4.6% 21.6 —
10.4% 9.63 —

HT/FT double chance

69.1% 1.45 —
60.7% 1.65 —
32.6% 3.06 —
33.2% 3.01 —
36.6% 2.73 —
19.4% 5.15 —
52.7% 1.9 —
52.4% 1.91 —
43.3% 2.31 —

Total goals

92.1% 1.09 —
72.6% 1.38 —
47.1% 2.12 —
25.8% 3.87 —
27.4% 3.65 —
52.9% 1.89 —
74.2% 1.35 —

1st-half goals

50.9% 1.97 —
16.0% 6.25 —

Home team goals

79.7% 1.25 —
47.9% 2.09 —

Away team goals

61.6% 1.62 —
24.5% 4.07 —

Both to score

49.1% 2.03 —

Corners

75.1% 1.33 —
64.8% 1.54 —
54.5% 1.83 —
43.9% 2.28 —
34.1% 2.93 —
35.2% 2.84 —
45.5% 2.2 —
56.1% 1.78 —
65.9% 1.52 —

Home corners

70.5% 1.42 —
55.3% 1.81 —
40.4% 2.48 —

Away corners

69.6% 1.44 —
54.2% 1.84 —
39.2% 2.55 —

Cards

84.3% 1.19 —
69.9% 1.43 —
53.8% 1.86 —
38.6% 2.59 —
30.1% 3.32 —
46.2% 2.17 —
61.5% 1.63 —

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