Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-11-28
Modena – Padova
Home
51%
1.96 fair
Draw
27%
3.74 fair
Away
22%
4.51 fair
Expected Goals2.29
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score44%
Over 2.540%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
50.0%
→
51.1%
+1.1 pp
Draw
27.7%
→
26.8%
-1.0 pp
Away
22.3%
→
22.2%
-0.1 pp
Over 2.5
38.2%
→
40.3%
+2.1 pp
Both teams to score
41.9%
→
43.6%
+1.7 pp
Expected Goals
2.2 →
2.29
+0.09
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.74 | — | |||
| 22.2% | 4.51 | — | |||
| 77.8% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 73.3% | 1.37 | — |
Half-time result
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 21.8% | 4.59 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — |
Both halves
| 14.5% | 6.89 | — |
HT/FT
| 34.4% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.25 | — | |||
| 14.8% | 6.77 | — | |||
| 18.2% | 5.5 | — | |||
| 6.4% | 15.7 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.92 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.6 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 71.2% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.45 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.1 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — |
Total goals
| 90.0% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.15 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 80.6% | 1.24 | — |
1st-half goals
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — |
Home team goals
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — |
Away team goals
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.81 | — |
Both to score
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — |
Corners
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.34 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — |
Home corners
| 80.3% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.87 | — |
Away corners
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 19.8% | 5.04 | — |
Cards
| 84.0% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.61 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds