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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-11-28

Empoli – Verona

Home 28% 3.61 fair
Draw 24% 4.22 fair
Away 49% 2.06 fair
Expected Goals2.97
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.557%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 40.5% → 27.7% -12.8 pp
Draw 24.2% → 23.7% -0.6 pp
Away 35.3% → 48.6% +13.4 pp
Over 2.5 57.7% → 57.1% -0.6 pp
Both teams to score 60.8% → 58.2% -2.6 pp
Expected Goals 3.01 → 2.97 -0.04
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.97
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.76 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.59 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

27.7% 3.61 —
23.7% 4.22 —
48.6% 2.06 —
51.3% 1.95 —
72.3% 1.38 —
76.3% 1.31 —

Half-time result

17.9% 5.6 —
43.6% 2.29 —
38.5% 2.6 —

Half-time double chance

61.5% 1.63 —
82.1% 1.22 —
56.4% 1.77 —

Both halves

5.3% 18.98 —

HT/FT

12.0% 8.32 —
3.6% 27.4 —
13.0% 7.72 —
14.0% 7.14 —
16.7% 5.99 —
6.0% 16.61 —
29.8% 3.36 —

HT/FT double chance

42.6% 2.35 —
43.9% 2.28 —
36.6% 2.74 —
24.4% 4.1 —
46.7% 2.14 —
41.6% 2.4 —
35.7% 2.8 —
62.1% 1.61 —
66.5% 1.5 —

Total goals

94.8% 1.06 —
79.5% 1.26 —
57.1% 1.75 —
34.5% 2.9 —
20.4% 4.89 —
42.9% 2.33 —
65.5% 1.53 —

1st-half goals

66.4% 1.51 —
29.8% 3.35 —

Home team goals

70.9% 1.41 —
35.4% 2.83 —

Away team goals

82.0% 1.22 —
51.6% 1.94 —

Both to score

58.2% 1.72 —

Corners

71.1% 1.41 —
60.6% 1.65 —
49.5% 2.02 —
38.8% 2.58 —
29.5% 3.39 —
39.4% 2.54 —
50.5% 1.98 —
61.2% 1.63 —
70.5% 1.42 —

Home corners

65.2% 1.53 —
48.8% 2.05 —
34.1% 2.93 —

Away corners

69.2% 1.44 —
53.7% 1.86 —
38.7% 2.58 —

Cards

80.4% 1.24 —
64.6% 1.55 —
47.3% 2.11 —
31.7% 3.15 —
35.4% 2.83 —
52.7% 1.9 —
68.3% 1.46 —

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