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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-11-28

Catanzaro – Avellino

Home 46% 2.18 fair
Draw 24% 4.13 fair
Away 30% 3.34 fair
Expected Goals2.94
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.556%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 53.9% → 45.8% -8.0 pp
Draw 23.3% → 24.2% +0.9 pp
Away 22.8% → 30.0% +7.2 pp
Over 2.5 56.1% → 56.5% +0.3 pp
Both teams to score 56.5% → 58.5% +2.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.94 → 2.94 0.0
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.94
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.13 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.12 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

45.8% 2.18 —
24.2% 4.13 —
30.0% 3.34 —
70.0% 1.43 —
54.2% 1.85 —
75.8% 1.32 —

Half-time result

27.5% 3.63 —
38.8% 2.58 —
33.7% 2.97 —

Half-time double chance

66.3% 1.51 —
72.5% 1.38 —
61.3% 1.63 —

Both halves

12.8% 7.82 —

HT/FT

23.2% 4.3 —
3.3% 30.49 —
17.8% 5.61 —
13.1% 7.62 —
7.8% 12.79 —
4.8% 20.88 —
7.8% 12.82 —
21.1% 4.73 —

HT/FT double chance

57.5% 1.74 —
49.9% 2.0 —
25.2% 3.96 —
39.1% 2.56 —
50.2% 1.99 —
33.2% 3.01 —
43.5% 2.3 —
51.5% 1.94 —
49.9% 2.01 —

Total goals

94.6% 1.06 —
78.9% 1.27 —
56.5% 1.77 —
34.1% 2.94 —
21.1% 4.74 —
43.5% 2.3 —
65.9% 1.52 —

1st-half goals

74.5% 1.34 —
39.6% 2.53 —

Home team goals

80.5% 1.24 —
49.3% 2.03 —

Away team goals

72.5% 1.38 —
36.7% 2.72 —

Both to score

58.5% 1.71 —

Corners

65.2% 1.53 —
53.8% 1.86 —
42.5% 2.35 —
32.3% 3.1 —
23.6% 4.23 —
46.2% 2.16 —
57.5% 1.74 —
67.7% 1.48 —
76.4% 1.31 —

Home corners

68.2% 1.47 —
52.3% 1.91 —
37.3% 2.68 —

Away corners

56.9% 1.76 —
40.2% 2.49 —
25.9% 3.86 —

Cards

85.5% 1.17 —
72.0% 1.39 —
55.8% 1.79 —
40.2% 2.49 —
28.1% 3.56 —
44.2% 2.26 —
59.8% 1.67 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds