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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-11-28

Ascoli – Virtus Entella

Home 58% 1.73 fair
Draw 27% 3.74 fair
Away 16% 6.42 fair
Expected Goals2.03
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score34%
Over 2.533%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 50.6% → 57.7% +7.1 pp
Draw 27.9% → 26.7% -1.1 pp
Away 21.6% → 15.6% -6.0 pp
Over 2.5 34.2% → 33.4% -0.8 pp
Both teams to score 38.1% → 33.9% -4.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.07 → 2.03 -0.04
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.03
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.27 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.14 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

57.7% 1.73 —
26.7% 3.74 —
15.6% 6.42 —
84.4% 1.18 —
42.3% 2.36 —
73.3% 1.36 —

Half-time result

37.9% 2.64 —
47.3% 2.12 —
14.8% 6.74 —

Half-time double chance

85.2% 1.17 —
62.1% 1.61 —
52.7% 1.9 —

Both halves

17.3% 5.77 —

HT/FT

34.2% 2.92 —
3.1% 32.15 —
21.4% 4.67 —
19.6% 5.09 —
6.2% 16.08 —
4.0% 25.06 —
8.8% 11.4 —

HT/FT double chance

78.3% 1.28 —
62.4% 1.6 —
29.5% 3.38 —
43.4% 2.31 —
45.6% 2.19 —
16.5% 6.08 —
47.1% 2.12 —
38.5% 2.6 —
38.6% 2.59 —

Total goals

86.8% 1.15 —
60.1% 1.66 —
33.4% 2.99 —
15.0% 6.67 —
39.9% 2.5 —
66.6% 1.5 —
85.0% 1.18 —

1st-half goals

60.2% 1.66 —
23.5% 4.25 —

Home team goals

76.0% 1.32 —
42.3% 2.37 —

Away team goals

44.6% 2.24 —
12.2% 8.22 —

Both to score

33.9% 2.95 —

Corners

66.5% 1.5 —
55.1% 1.82 —
43.8% 2.28 —
33.6% 2.98 —
25.0% 4.0 —
44.9% 2.23 —
56.2% 1.78 —
66.4% 1.51 —
75.0% 1.33 —

Home corners

70.3% 1.42 —
54.8% 1.83 —
39.7% 2.52 —

Away corners

56.7% 1.76 —
39.6% 2.52 —
25.4% 3.93 —

Cards

85.4% 1.17 —
72.0% 1.39 —
56.1% 1.78 —
40.7% 2.46 —
28.0% 3.57 —
43.9% 2.28 —
59.3% 1.69 —

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