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Fixtures / Scotland / 2026-11-28

St Mirren – Kilmarnock

Home 42% 2.38 fair
Draw 27% 3.73 fair
Away 31% 3.21 fair
Expected Goals2.52
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.546%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 43.7% → 42.0% -1.7 pp
Draw 27.1% → 26.8% -0.3 pp
Away 29.2% → 31.2% +2.0 pp
Over 2.5 45.9% → 46.0% +0.1 pp
Both teams to score 50.9% → 51.1% +0.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.52 → 2.52 0.0
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.52
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.11 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.92 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

42.0% 2.38 —
26.8% 3.73 —
31.2% 3.21 —
68.8% 1.45 —
58.0% 1.72 —
73.2% 1.37 —

Half-time result

35.9% 2.79 —
43.2% 2.31 —
20.9% 4.78 —

Half-time double chance

79.1% 1.26 —
64.1% 1.56 —
56.8% 1.76 —

Both halves

11.1% 9.05 —

HT/FT

27.2% 3.67 —
6.1% 16.29 —
13.2% 7.57 —
16.6% 6.04 —
13.5% 7.43 —
4.1% 24.39 —
15.2% 6.57 —

HT/FT double chance

63.1% 1.58 —
56.4% 1.77 —
38.7% 2.59 —
39.1% 2.56 —
46.5% 2.15 —
28.0% 3.58 —
35.4% 2.82 —
43.5% 2.3 —
49.3% 2.03 —

Total goals

91.9% 1.09 —
71.8% 1.39 —
46.0% 2.17 —
24.8% 4.04 —
28.2% 3.54 —
54.0% 1.85 —
75.2% 1.33 —

1st-half goals

67.5% 1.48 —
31.3% 3.19 —

Home team goals

74.6% 1.34 —
40.1% 2.5 —

Away team goals

68.5% 1.46 —
31.8% 3.15 —

Both to score

51.1% 1.96 —

Corners

74.3% 1.35 —
63.7% 1.57 —
53.1% 1.88 —
42.7% 2.34 —
33.2% 3.01 —
36.3% 2.75 —
46.8% 2.13 —
57.3% 1.75 —
66.8% 1.5 —

Home corners

73.2% 1.37 —
58.3% 1.71 —
43.8% 2.28 —

Away corners

65.7% 1.52 —
49.1% 2.03 —
34.6% 2.89 —

Cards

72.1% 1.39 —
53.0% 1.89 —
35.4% 2.82 —
21.9% 4.57 —
47.0% 2.13 —
64.6% 1.55 —
78.1% 1.28 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds