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Fixtures / Scotland / 2026-11-28

Motherwell – Hibernian

Home 40% 2.49 fair
Draw 27% 3.77 fair
Away 33% 3.0 fair
Expected Goals2.62
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.548%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 42.0% → 40.2% -1.8 pp
Draw 26.1% → 26.5% +0.4 pp
Away 31.9% → 33.3% +1.4 pp
Over 2.5 50.2% → 48.5% -1.7 pp
Both teams to score 54.6% → 52.8% -1.8 pp
Expected Goals 2.68 → 2.62 -0.06
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.62
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.07 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.55 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

40.2% 2.49 —
26.5% 3.77 —
33.3% 3.0 —
66.7% 1.5 —
59.8% 1.67 —
73.5% 1.36 —

Half-time result

35.7% 2.8 —
39.3% 2.54 —
25.0% 4.01 —

Half-time double chance

75.0% 1.33 —
64.3% 1.56 —
60.7% 1.65 —

Both halves

10.4% 9.57 —

HT/FT

27.4% 3.65 —
6.1% 16.37 —
11.3% 8.83 —
16.0% 6.25 —
12.0% 8.34 —
4.4% 22.68 —
19.1% 5.24 —

HT/FT double chance

60.8% 1.64 —
52.9% 1.89 —
36.3% 2.75 —
39.4% 2.54 —
50.2% 1.99 —
31.8% 3.14 —
33.2% 3.01 —
43.9% 2.28 —
51.5% 1.94 —

Total goals

92.7% 1.08 —
73.6% 1.36 —
48.5% 2.06 —
27.1% 3.69 —
26.5% 3.78 —
51.5% 1.94 —
72.9% 1.37 —

1st-half goals

73.0% 1.37 —
37.4% 2.68 —

Home team goals

74.8% 1.34 —
40.4% 2.47 —

Away team goals

70.8% 1.41 —
35.1% 2.85 —

Both to score

52.8% 1.89 —

Corners

73.7% 1.36 —
63.4% 1.58 —
52.5% 1.9 —
42.3% 2.36 —
32.8% 3.05 —
36.6% 2.73 —
47.5% 2.11 —
57.7% 1.73 —
67.2% 1.49 —

Home corners

72.1% 1.39 —
56.4% 1.77 —
41.3% 2.42 —

Away corners

66.1% 1.51 —
50.4% 1.98 —
35.9% 2.79 —

Cards

79.6% 1.26 —
63.5% 1.57 —
46.4% 2.15 —
31.3% 3.19 —
36.5% 2.74 —
53.6% 1.87 —
68.7% 1.46 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds