Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-11-28
Guimaraes – Estrela
Home
53%
1.89 fair
Draw
25%
4.03 fair
Away
22%
4.48 fair
Expected Goals2.6
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.548%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
49.9%
→
52.9%
+3.0 pp
Draw
25.7%
→
24.8%
-0.8 pp
Away
24.4%
→
22.3%
-2.1 pp
Over 2.5
47.2%
→
48.1%
+0.9 pp
Both teams to score
50.3%
→
49.8%
-0.5 pp
Expected Goals
2.57 →
2.6
+0.03
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.03 | — | |||
| 22.3% | 4.48 | — | |||
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 34.4% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 18.0% | 5.55 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 82.0% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.91 | — |
Both halves
| 15.6% | 6.4 | — |
HT/FT
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.79 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.67 | — | |||
| 16.0% | 6.26 | — | |||
| 10.1% | 9.86 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.36 | — | |||
| 10.8% | 9.29 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 21.0% | 4.76 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — |
Total goals
| 92.5% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 26.3% | 3.8 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.77 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — |
1st-half goals
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 4.01 | — |
Home team goals
| 80.4% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — |
Away team goals
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — |
Both to score
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — |
Corners
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — |
Home corners
| 84.7% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — |
Away corners
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 14.2% | 7.04 | — |
Cards
| 85.7% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds