Fixtures / Portugal / 2026-11-28
Arouca – Rio Ave
Home
54%
1.85 fair
Draw
24%
4.19 fair
Away
22%
4.53 fair
Expected Goals2.78
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.552%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
54.0%
→
54.0%
+0.0 pp
Draw
23.4%
→
23.9%
+0.4 pp
Away
22.5%
→
22.1%
-0.5 pp
Over 2.5
54.2%
→
52.2%
-2.0 pp
Both teams to score
54.8%
→
52.9%
-1.9 pp
Expected Goals
2.85 →
2.78
-0.07
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.19 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.53 | — | |||
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.3 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — |
Both halves
| 17.0% | 5.89 | — |
HT/FT
| 30.3% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.58 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 5.01 | — | |||
| 14.1% | 7.07 | — | |||
| 7.4% | 13.57 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.67 | — | |||
| 5.8% | 17.21 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.3 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.78 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.09 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — |
Total goals
| 93.8% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 52.2% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 30.7% | 3.25 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 69.3% | 1.44 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — |
Home team goals
| 82.5% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 52.2% | 1.91 | — |
Away team goals
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — |
Both to score
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — |
Corners
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 50.9% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.18 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — |
Home corners
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — |
Away corners
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.01 | — |
Cards
| 86.4% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.9 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.89 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds