Fixtures / National League / 2026-11-28
Hartlepool – Southend
Home
26%
3.89 fair
Draw
25%
4.03 fair
Away
49%
2.02 fair
Expected Goals2.74
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.552%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
24.3%
→
25.7%
+1.4 pp
Draw
25.5%
→
24.8%
-0.7 pp
Away
50.1%
→
49.5%
-0.7 pp
Over 2.5
48.0%
→
51.8%
+3.8 pp
Both teams to score
50.9%
→
54.2%
+3.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.59 →
2.74
+0.15
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.03 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 17.6% | 5.69 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.63 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 61.9% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 82.4% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — |
Both halves
| 4.9% | 20.58 | — |
HT/FT
| 11.5% | 8.72 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.39 | — | |||
| 11.8% | 8.48 | — | |||
| 15.3% | 6.55 | — | |||
| 17.3% | 5.78 | — | |||
| 5.8% | 17.39 | — | |||
| 29.8% | 3.35 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.26 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — |
Total goals
| 93.6% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 75.9% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.15 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — |
1st-half goals
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.6 | — |
Home team goals
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — |
Away team goals
| 80.7% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.08 | — |
Both to score
| 54.2% | 1.85 | — |
Corners
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — |
Home corners
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 37.3% | 2.68 | — |
Away corners
| 72.4% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — |
Cards
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.54 | — | |||
| 15.9% | 6.3 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 71.7% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 84.1% | 1.19 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds