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Fixtures / National League / 2026-11-28

Forest Green – Tamworth

Home 58% 1.72 fair
Draw 21% 4.69 fair
Away 20% 4.88 fair
Expected Goals3.19
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.561%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 61.7% → 58.2% -3.5 pp
Draw 19.7% → 21.3% +1.6 pp
Away 18.6% → 20.5% +1.9 pp
Over 2.5 63.4% → 61.4% -2.0 pp
Both teams to score 59.1% → 59.0% -0.1 pp
Expected Goals 3.27 → 3.19 -0.08
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.19
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.5 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.31 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

58.2% 1.72 —
21.3% 4.69 —
20.5% 4.88 —
79.5% 1.26 —
41.8% 2.39 —
78.7% 1.27 —

Half-time result

44.6% 2.24 —
36.3% 2.75 —
19.1% 5.25 —

Half-time double chance

81.0% 1.24 —
55.4% 1.81 —
63.7% 1.57 —

Both halves

20.9% 4.78 —

HT/FT

38.2% 2.62 —
4.7% 21.32 —
16.7% 6.0 —
12.1% 8.29 —
7.6% 13.16 —
3.3% 30.3 —
4.5% 22.03 —
11.2% 8.93 —

HT/FT double chance

71.7% 1.4 —
64.2% 1.56 —
26.1% 3.84 —
50.8% 1.97 —
54.4% 1.84 —
22.1% 4.52 —
36.6% 2.73 —
38.8% 2.58 —
35.4% 2.82 —

Total goals

95.9% 1.04 —
82.6% 1.21 —
61.4% 1.63 —
39.7% 2.52 —
17.4% 5.75 —
38.6% 2.59 —
60.3% 1.66 —

1st-half goals

76.1% 1.31 —
42.6% 2.35 —

Home team goals

87.0% 1.15 —
60.7% 1.65 —

Away team goals

67.9% 1.47 —
31.7% 3.15 —

Both to score

59.0% 1.69 —

Corners

79.2% 1.26 —
69.3% 1.44 —
58.8% 1.7 —
47.3% 2.11 —
36.4% 2.74 —
30.7% 3.26 —
41.2% 2.42 —
52.7% 1.9 —
63.6% 1.57 —

Home corners

83.6% 1.2 —
70.8% 1.41 —
56.3% 1.78 —

Away corners

60.9% 1.64 —
43.0% 2.32 —
27.8% 3.59 —

Cards

77.1% 1.3 —
59.6% 1.68 —
42.1% 2.38 —
27.4% 3.65 —
40.4% 2.48 —
57.9% 1.73 —
72.6% 1.38 —

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