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Fixtures / National League / 2026-11-28

Altrincham – Worthing

Home 37% 2.67 fair
Draw 22% 4.55 fair
Away 41% 2.46 fair
Expected Goals3.51
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score68%
Over 2.568%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 34.6% → 37.4% +2.9 pp
Draw 23.1% → 22.0% -1.1 pp
Away 42.4% → 40.6% -1.8 pp
Over 2.5 63.5% → 68.2% +4.7 pp
Both teams to score 64.8% → 68.3% +3.5 pp
Expected Goals 3.27 → 3.51 +0.24
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.51
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.52 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.58 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

37.4% 2.67 —
22.0% 4.55 —
40.6% 2.46 —
59.4% 1.68 —
62.6% 1.6 —
78.0% 1.28 —

Half-time result

37.7% 2.65 —
32.8% 3.05 —
29.5% 3.39 —

Half-time double chance

70.5% 1.42 —
62.3% 1.61 —
67.2% 1.49 —

Both halves

9.9% 10.07 —

HT/FT

27.0% 3.71 —
6.7% 14.88 —
4.0% 24.75 —
8.8% 11.42 —
11.0% 9.1 —
13.0% 7.67 —
4.3% 23.42 —
23.5% 4.25 —

HT/FT double chance

53.4% 1.87 —
52.8% 1.89 —
34.8% 2.87 —
39.6% 2.52 —
56.2% 1.78 —
38.6% 2.59 —
25.7% 3.89 —
47.0% 2.13 —
51.8% 1.93 —

Total goals

86.2% 1.16 —
68.2% 1.47 —
46.4% 2.16 —
13.8% 7.27 —
31.8% 3.15 —
53.6% 1.87 —

1st-half goals

83.1% 1.2 —
53.2% 1.88 —

Home team goals

81.8% 1.22 —
51.0% 1.96 —

Away team goals

83.5% 1.2 —
53.3% 1.88 —

Both to score

68.3% 1.46 —

Corners

79.3% 1.26 —
69.4% 1.44 —
58.7% 1.7 —
47.7% 2.1 —
36.9% 2.71 —
30.6% 3.27 —
41.3% 2.42 —
52.3% 1.91 —
63.1% 1.59 —

Home corners

87.9% 1.14 —
77.6% 1.29 —
64.6% 1.55 —

Away corners

49.7% 2.01 —
31.6% 3.16 —
18.3% 5.46 —

Cards

79.5% 1.26 —
63.5% 1.57 —
46.7% 2.14 —
31.6% 3.17 —
36.5% 2.74 —
53.3% 1.88 —
68.4% 1.46 —

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