Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-11-28
Paris SG – Lorient
Home
74%
1.36 fair
Draw
16%
6.1 fair
Away
10%
10.2 fair
Expected Goals3.2
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.562%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
74.7%
→
73.8%
-0.9 pp
Draw
15.1%
→
16.4%
+1.3 pp
Away
10.2%
→
9.8%
-0.4 pp
Over 2.5
67.0%
→
61.9%
-5.1 pp
Both teams to score
53.0%
→
49.4%
-3.6 pp
Expected Goals
3.45 →
3.2
-0.25
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 73.8% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 16.4% | 6.1 | — | |||
| 9.8% | 10.2 | — | |||
| 90.2% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.82 | — | |||
| 83.6% | 1.2 | — |
Half-time result
| 44.0% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 14.3% | 6.99 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 85.7% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.72 | — |
Both halves
| 28.8% | 3.47 | — |
HT/FT
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 28.1% | 3.56 | — | |||
| 9.8% | 10.22 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.04 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 20.2 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 25.06 | — | |||
| 5.4% | 18.66 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 16.9% | 5.93 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 12.6% | 7.95 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.35 | — |
Total goals
| 96.0% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 83.0% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 17.0% | 5.88 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — |
1st-half goals
| 66.9% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — |
Home team goals
| 91.3% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 69.7% | 1.44 | — |
Away team goals
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 18.2% | 5.5 | — |
Both to score
| 49.4% | 2.02 | — |
Corners
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.44 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — |
Home corners
| 86.0% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 75.5% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — |
Away corners
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 16.8% | 5.97 | — | |||
| 8.4% | 11.9 | — |
Cards
| 57.0% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 21.7% | 4.6 | — | |||
| 11.6% | 8.6 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 88.4% | 1.13 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds