Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-11-28
Nice – Troyes
Home
62%
1.62 fair
Draw
23%
4.44 fair
Away
16%
6.3 fair
Expected Goals2.57
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score45%
Over 2.547%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
65.7%
→
61.6%
-4.1 pp
Draw
19.7%
→
22.5%
+2.8 pp
Away
14.6%
→
15.9%
+1.3 pp
Over 2.5
58.7%
→
47.2%
-11.6 pp
Both teams to score
52.4%
→
45.0%
-7.4 pp
Expected Goals
3.04 →
2.57
-0.47
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.44 | — | |||
| 15.9% | 6.3 | — | |||
| 84.1% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.9 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — |
Both halves
| 22.0% | 4.54 | — |
HT/FT
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 17.8% | 5.61 | — | |||
| 14.3% | 6.99 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 26.88 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 31.95 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.05 | — | |||
| 11.7% | 8.52 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 75.5% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.74 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 20.3% | 4.91 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — |
Total goals
| 92.5% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.9 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — |
1st-half goals
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.38 | — |
Home team goals
| 83.3% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — |
Away team goals
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 18.3% | 5.47 | — |
Both to score
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — |
Corners
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — |
Home corners
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 52.2% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.68 | — |
Away corners
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.05 | — |
Cards
| 72.7% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.12 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds