Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-11-28
Le Mans – Lille
Home
20%
5.02 fair
Draw
24%
4.19 fair
Away
56%
1.78 fair
Expected Goals2.62
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.549%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
31.4%
→
19.9%
-11.4 pp
Draw
23.8%
→
23.9%
+0.1 pp
Away
44.9%
→
56.2%
+11.3 pp
Over 2.5
59.0%
→
48.6%
-10.4 pp
Both teams to score
61.4%
→
49.1%
-12.3 pp
Expected Goals
3.07 →
2.62
-0.45
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 19.9% | 5.02 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.19 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 80.1% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 21.4% | 4.68 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.92 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — |
Both halves
| 3.5% | 28.17 | — |
HT/FT
| 12.1% | 8.26 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.02 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 26.88 | — | |||
| 7.0% | 14.29 | — | |||
| 15.0% | 6.67 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.47 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 29.94 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 39.6% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 21.8% | 4.58 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.82 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — |
Total goals
| 92.5% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.73 | — | |||
| 26.7% | 3.75 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — |
1st-half goals
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.48 | — |
Home team goals
| 59.7% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.33 | — |
Away team goals
| 81.9% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — |
Both to score
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — |
Corners
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.25 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.53 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — |
Home corners
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.37 | — |
Away corners
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — |
Cards
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds