Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-11-28
Angers – Lens
Home
17%
6.0 fair
Draw
24%
4.15 fair
Away
59%
1.69 fair
Expected Goals2.46
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score44%
Over 2.545%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
18.5%
→
16.7%
-1.8 pp
Draw
25.5%
→
24.1%
-1.4 pp
Away
56.0%
→
59.2%
+3.2 pp
Over 2.5
41.8%
→
44.6%
+2.8 pp
Both teams to score
43.2%
→
43.9%
+0.8 pp
Expected Goals
2.36 →
2.46
+0.1
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 16.7% | 6.0 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.15 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 83.3% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 75.9% | 1.32 | — |
Half-time result
| 13.4% | 7.45 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 86.6% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — |
HT/FT
| 8.3% | 12.09 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 27.55 | — | |||
| 7.2% | 13.79 | — | |||
| 15.7% | 6.37 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.01 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.1 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 34.9% | 2.87 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 17.8% | 5.62 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.47 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — |
Total goals
| 91.6% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.26 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.41 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — |
Home team goals
| 53.6% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 18.1% | 5.52 | — |
Away team goals
| 81.9% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — |
Both to score
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — |
Corners
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — |
Home corners
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 26.3% | 3.81 | — |
Away corners
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — |
Cards
| 71.7% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.27 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds