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Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2026-11-28

Angers – Lens

Home 17% 6.0 fair
Draw 24% 4.15 fair
Away 59% 1.69 fair
Expected Goals2.46
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score44%
Over 2.545%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 18.5% → 16.7% -1.8 pp
Draw 25.5% → 24.1% -1.4 pp
Away 56.0% → 59.2% +3.2 pp
Over 2.5 41.8% → 44.6% +2.8 pp
Both teams to score 43.2% → 43.9% +0.8 pp
Expected Goals 2.36 → 2.46 +0.1
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 0-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.46
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.69 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.0 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

16.7% 6.0 —
24.1% 4.15 —
59.2% 1.69 —
40.8% 2.45 —
83.3% 1.2 —
75.9% 1.32 —

Half-time result

13.4% 7.45 —
39.6% 2.53 —
47.0% 2.13 —

Half-time double chance

53.0% 1.89 —
86.6% 1.16 —
60.4% 1.66 —

HT/FT

8.3% 12.09 —
3.6% 27.55 —
7.2% 13.79 —
15.7% 6.37 —
16.6% 6.01 —
4.7% 21.1 —
41.1% 2.43 —

HT/FT double chance

34.9% 2.87 —
33.7% 2.97 —
37.5% 2.67 —
17.8% 5.62 —
52.0% 1.92 —
51.0% 1.96 —
28.9% 3.47 —
66.1% 1.51 —
78.2% 1.28 —

Total goals

91.6% 1.09 —
70.7% 1.41 —
44.6% 2.24 —
23.5% 4.26 —
29.3% 3.41 —
55.4% 1.81 —
76.5% 1.31 —

1st-half goals

70.0% 1.43 —
33.8% 2.96 —

Home team goals

53.6% 1.87 —
18.1% 5.52 —

Away team goals

81.9% 1.22 —
50.3% 1.99 —

Both to score

43.9% 2.28 —

Corners

70.3% 1.42 —
59.8% 1.67 —
48.9% 2.04 —
38.5% 2.6 —
29.4% 3.4 —
40.2% 2.49 —
51.1% 1.96 —
61.6% 1.62 —
70.6% 1.42 —

Home corners

57.4% 1.74 —
39.7% 2.52 —
26.3% 3.81 —

Away corners

74.1% 1.35 —
60.0% 1.67 —
45.8% 2.18 —

Cards

71.7% 1.4 —
53.6% 1.86 —
37.0% 2.7 —
23.4% 4.27 —
46.4% 2.16 —
63.0% 1.59 —
76.6% 1.31 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds