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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-11-28

Walsall – Northampton

Home 41% 2.44 fair
Draw 34% 2.91 fair
Away 25% 4.04 fair
Expected Goals1.63
Most Likely Score0-0
Both teams to score30%
Over 2.522%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 46.0% → 40.9% -5.1 pp
Draw 33.0% → 34.3% +1.3 pp
Away 21.0% → 24.8% +3.8 pp
Over 2.5 23.5% → 22.2% -1.3 pp
Both teams to score 30.1% → 30.1% -0.0 pp
Expected Goals 1.68 → 1.63 -0.05
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 0-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 1.63
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.91 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.66 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

40.9% 2.44 —
34.3% 2.91 —
24.8% 4.04 —
75.3% 1.33 —
59.1% 1.69 —
65.7% 1.52 —

Half-time result

26.3% 3.81 —
55.1% 1.81 —
18.6% 5.36 —

Half-time double chance

81.4% 1.23 —
73.7% 1.36 —
44.9% 2.23 —

Both halves

8.4% 11.92 —

HT/FT

21.8% 4.58 —
3.7% 26.74 —
17.8% 5.61 —
26.7% 3.74 —
10.6% 9.47 —
3.9% 25.84 —
13.5% 7.4 —

HT/FT double chance

70.1% 1.43 —
50.9% 1.96 —
41.7% 2.4 —
30.7% 3.26 —
37.3% 2.68 —
21.8% 4.59 —
49.7% 2.01 —
43.1% 2.32 —
54.7% 1.83 —

Total goals

80.5% 1.24 —
48.6% 2.06 —
22.2% 4.49 —
8.6% 11.68 —
51.4% 1.94 —
77.8% 1.29 —
91.4% 1.09 —

1st-half goals

51.2% 1.95 —
16.2% 6.15 —

Home team goals

61.4% 1.63 —
24.9% 4.02 —

Away team goals

49.2% 2.03 —
14.9% 6.72 —

Both to score

30.1% 3.32 —

Corners

73.4% 1.36 —
62.5% 1.6 —
51.4% 1.95 —
40.4% 2.48 —
30.8% 3.25 —
37.5% 2.66 —
48.6% 2.06 —
59.6% 1.68 —
69.2% 1.44 —

Home corners

71.0% 1.41 —
55.3% 1.81 —
40.1% 2.5 —

Away corners

66.5% 1.5 —
50.0% 2.0 —
34.7% 2.88 —

Cards

68.4% 1.46 —
48.6% 2.06 —
31.1% 3.22 —
17.9% 5.58 —
51.4% 1.95 —
69.0% 1.45 —
82.1% 1.22 —

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