Fixtures / League Two / 2026-11-28
Swindon – Chesterfield
Home
39%
2.57 fair
Draw
24%
4.13 fair
Away
37%
2.72 fair
Expected Goals2.97
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.557%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
37.1%
→
39.0%
+1.9 pp
Draw
25.0%
→
24.2%
-0.7 pp
Away
37.9%
→
36.8%
-1.2 pp
Over 2.5
56.0%
→
57.1%
+1.1 pp
Both teams to score
59.4%
→
59.7%
+0.4 pp
Expected Goals
2.94 →
2.97
+0.03
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.13 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — |
Half-time result
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.49 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — |
Both halves
| 10.4% | 9.61 | — |
HT/FT
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.54 | — | |||
| 11.5% | 8.71 | — | |||
| 13.9% | 7.22 | — | |||
| 12.4% | 8.06 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.32 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.57 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — |
Total goals
| 94.8% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 20.5% | 4.87 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — |
1st-half goals
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — |
Home team goals
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — |
Away team goals
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — |
Both to score
| 59.7% | 1.67 | — |
Corners
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 67.8% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — |
Home corners
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — |
Away corners
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — |
Cards
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.38 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 81.4% | 1.23 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds