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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-11-28

Rochdale – Barnet

Home 20% 5.1 fair
Draw 19% 5.14 fair
Away 61% 1.64 fair
Expected Goals3.5
Most Likely Score1-2
Both teams to score64%
Over 2.568%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 24.5% → 19.6% -4.9 pp
Draw 22.3% → 19.5% -2.8 pp
Away 53.2% → 60.9% +7.7 pp
Over 2.5 58.8% → 68.3% +9.5 pp
Both teams to score 58.5% → 63.6% +5.1 pp
Expected Goals 3.05 → 3.5 +0.45
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-2
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.5
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.04 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.06 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

19.6% 5.1 —
19.5% 5.14 —
60.9% 1.64 —
39.1% 2.56 —
80.4% 1.24 —
80.5% 1.24 —

Half-time result

17.5% 5.73 —
30.9% 3.24 —
51.6% 1.94 —

Half-time double chance

48.4% 2.07 —
82.5% 1.21 —
69.1% 1.45 —

Both halves

3.8% 26.25 —

HT/FT

10.7% 9.37 —
4.2% 24.1 —
7.0% 14.37 —
10.0% 9.98 —
13.9% 7.17 —
5.3% 18.87 —
44.4% 2.25 —

HT/FT double chance

31.8% 3.14 —
34.2% 2.92 —
30.8% 3.25 —
22.1% 4.53 —
59.6% 1.68 —
56.5% 1.77 —
24.2% 4.13 —
67.2% 1.49 —
73.6% 1.36 —

Total goals

96.9% 1.03 —
86.3% 1.16 —
68.3% 1.46 —
46.2% 2.17 —
13.7% 7.32 —
31.7% 3.16 —
53.8% 1.86 —

1st-half goals

83.0% 1.21 —
52.8% 1.89 —

Home team goals

71.0% 1.41 —
35.0% 2.86 —

Away team goals

89.5% 1.12 —
66.3% 1.51 —

Both to score

63.6% 1.57 —

Corners

74.3% 1.35 —
63.8% 1.57 —
52.7% 1.9 —
41.9% 2.39 —
32.5% 3.08 —
36.2% 2.76 —
47.3% 2.12 —
58.1% 1.72 —
67.5% 1.48 —

Home corners

56.6% 1.77 —
39.5% 2.53 —
25.4% 3.94 —

Away corners

78.9% 1.27 —
65.5% 1.53 —
51.2% 1.95 —

Cards

73.9% 1.35 —
56.1% 1.78 —
38.7% 2.58 —
23.9% 4.18 —
43.9% 2.28 —
61.3% 1.63 —
76.1% 1.31 —

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