Fixtures / League Two / 2026-11-28
Port Vale – Newport County
Home
51%
1.96 fair
Draw
27%
3.76 fair
Away
22%
4.49 fair
Expected Goals2.35
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score45%
Over 2.542%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
52.5%
→
51.1%
-1.4 pp
Draw
25.4%
→
26.6%
+1.2 pp
Away
22.1%
→
22.3%
+0.2 pp
Over 2.5
44.9%
→
41.7%
-3.3 pp
Both teams to score
47.1%
→
45.2%
-2.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.47 →
2.35
-0.12
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — | |||
| 22.3% | 4.49 | — | |||
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 13.2% | 7.58 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 86.8% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.85 | — |
Both halves
| 15.0% | 6.67 | — |
HT/FT
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — | |||
| 6.1% | 16.29 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.03 | — | |||
| 17.5% | 5.72 | — | |||
| 11.8% | 8.5 | — | |||
| 8.7% | 11.49 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 19.6% | 5.09 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.44 | — |
Total goals
| 90.5% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.72 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — |
1st-half goals
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.88 | — |
Home team goals
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — |
Away team goals
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.66 | — |
Both to score
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — |
Corners
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.54 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 71.7% | 1.39 | — |
Home corners
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — |
Away corners
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.91 | — |
Cards
| 72.7% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 22.2% | 4.5 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 77.8% | 1.29 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds