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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-11-28

Crewe – Grimsby

Home 38% 2.61 fair
Draw 26% 3.88 fair
Away 36% 2.78 fair
Expected Goals2.66
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.550%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 37.5% → 38.3% +0.8 pp
Draw 27.3% → 25.8% -1.5 pp
Away 35.3% → 36.0% +0.7 pp
Over 2.5 45.8% → 49.6% +3.8 pp
Both teams to score 51.6% → 54.3% +2.7 pp
Expected Goals 2.52 → 2.66 +0.14
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.66
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.3 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.99 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

38.3% 2.61 —
25.8% 3.88 —
36.0% 2.78 —
64.0% 1.56 —
61.7% 1.62 —
74.3% 1.35 —

Half-time result

29.2% 3.42 —
37.3% 2.68 —
33.5% 2.99 —

Half-time double chance

66.5% 1.5 —
70.8% 1.41 —
62.7% 1.59 —

Both halves

9.6% 10.45 —

HT/FT

23.6% 4.24 —
4.2% 23.53 —
12.5% 8.0 —
15.4% 6.47 —
9.3% 10.73 —
6.0% 16.56 —
25.3% 3.96 —

HT/FT double chance

55.8% 1.79 —
46.8% 2.14 —
30.4% 3.29 —
36.1% 2.77 —
52.4% 1.91 —
37.0% 2.71 —
36.2% 2.76 —
49.3% 2.03 —
56.1% 1.78 —

Total goals

93.3% 1.07 —
74.7% 1.34 —
49.6% 2.02 —
27.5% 3.64 —
25.3% 3.95 —
50.4% 1.98 —
72.5% 1.38 —

1st-half goals

77.1% 1.3 —
43.5% 2.3 —

Home team goals

74.5% 1.34 —
39.0% 2.57 —

Away team goals

73.2% 1.37 —
37.9% 2.64 —

Both to score

54.3% 1.84 —

Corners

76.0% 1.32 —
66.0% 1.52 —
55.5% 1.8 —
44.7% 2.24 —
34.8% 2.87 —
34.1% 2.94 —
44.5% 2.25 —
55.3% 1.81 —
65.2% 1.53 —

Home corners

72.0% 1.39 —
56.6% 1.77 —
41.6% 2.4 —

Away corners

70.4% 1.42 —
54.6% 1.83 —
39.6% 2.53 —

Cards

73.2% 1.37 —
54.6% 1.83 —
37.0% 2.7 —
22.7% 4.41 —
45.4% 2.21 —
63.0% 1.59 —
77.3% 1.29 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds