Fixtures / League Two / 2026-11-28
Exeter – Crawley Town
Home
45%
2.2 fair
Draw
35%
2.83 fair
Away
19%
5.19 fair
Expected Goals1.52
Most Likely Score0-0
Both teams to score26%
Over 2.520%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
33.0%
→
45.4%
+12.4 pp
Draw
41.8%
→
35.4%
-6.4 pp
Away
25.2%
→
19.2%
-6.0 pp
Over 2.5
11.3%
→
19.5%
+8.2 pp
Both teams to score
19.7%
→
26.2%
+6.5 pp
Expected Goals
1.19 →
1.52
+0.33
Most Likely Score
0-0
→
0-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 19.2% | 5.19 | — | |||
| 80.8% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — |
Half-time result
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 5.8% | 17.39 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 94.2% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — |
Both halves
| 9.2% | 10.81 | — |
HT/FT
| 21.4% | 4.68 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 23.58 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.26 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.37 | — | |||
| 14.4% | 6.93 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.39 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 49.4% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.63 | — | |||
| 26.7% | 3.74 | — | |||
| 10.5% | 9.55 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 49.4% | 2.03 | — |
Total goals
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 19.5% | 5.13 | — | |||
| 6.9% | 14.45 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 80.5% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 93.1% | 1.07 | — |
1st-half goals
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 6.4% | 15.6 | — |
Home team goals
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.85 | — |
Away team goals
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 10.1% | 9.87 | — |
Both to score
| 26.2% | 3.81 | — |
Corners
| 77.8% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — |
Home corners
| 80.4% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — |
Away corners
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — |
Cards
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 27.7% | 3.61 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds