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Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-11-28

PSV Eindhoven – Go Ahead Eagles

Home 80% 1.25 fair
Draw 11% 9.06 fair
Away 9% 11.48 fair
Expected Goals4.57
Most Likely Score3-1
Both teams to score65%
Over 2.583%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 78.7% → 80.2% +1.6 pp
Draw 11.9% → 11.0% -0.9 pp
Away 9.4% → 8.7% -0.7 pp
Over 2.5 83.0% → 83.2% +0.1 pp
Both teams to score 67.4% → 65.4% -2.0 pp
Expected Goals 4.56 → 4.57 +0.01
Most Likely Score 3-1 → 3-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 4.57
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 11.55 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 2.91 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

80.2% 1.25 —
11.0% 9.06 —
8.7% 11.48 —
91.3% 1.1 —
19.7% 5.07 —
89.0% 1.12 —

Half-time result

67.4% 1.48 —
22.2% 4.51 —
10.4% 9.62 —

Half-time double chance

89.6% 1.12 —
32.6% 3.07 —
77.8% 1.28 —

Both halves

43.0% 2.33 —

HT/FT

63.0% 1.59 —
3.4% 29.41 —
14.0% 7.15 —
5.0% 19.88 —
3.1% 31.75 —
3.3% 30.67 —
4.5% 22.12 —

HT/FT double chance

85.4% 1.17 —
81.2% 1.23 —
12.6% 7.92 —
72.3% 1.38 —
71.8% 1.39 —
11.6% 8.64 —
24.9% 4.02 —
24.9% 4.01 —
15.3% 6.54 —

Total goals

93.9% 1.06 —
83.2% 1.2 —
66.8% 1.5 —
6.1% 16.47 —
16.8% 5.94 —
33.2% 3.01 —

1st-half goals

89.1% 1.12 —
65.1% 1.54 —

Home team goals

96.6% 1.04 —
85.5% 1.17 —

Away team goals

67.7% 1.48 —
31.3% 3.2 —

Both to score

65.4% 1.53 —

Corners

83.2% 1.2 —
75.4% 1.33 —
66.2% 1.51 —
56.5% 1.77 —
46.7% 2.14 —
24.6% 4.07 —
33.8% 2.96 —
43.5% 2.3 —
53.3% 1.88 —

Home corners

90.9% 1.1 —
83.6% 1.2 —
73.6% 1.36 —

Away corners

45.9% 2.18 —
29.4% 3.4 —
17.3% 5.78 —

Cards

52.7% 1.9 —
33.3% 3.01 —
18.8% 5.32 —
10.3% 9.75 —
66.7% 1.5 —
81.2% 1.23 —
89.7% 1.11 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds