Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-11-28
Excelsior – Telstar
Home
35%
2.83 fair
Draw
23%
4.27 fair
Away
41%
2.42 fair
Expected Goals3.18
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score63%
Over 2.561%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
43.6%
→
35.3%
-8.3 pp
Draw
25.6%
→
23.4%
-2.2 pp
Away
30.8%
→
41.3%
+10.5 pp
Over 2.5
52.9%
→
61.3%
+8.3 pp
Both teams to score
56.6%
→
63.3%
+6.8 pp
Expected Goals
2.8 →
3.18
+0.38
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.27 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.58 | — |
Both halves
| 9.0% | 11.09 | — |
HT/FT
| 24.1% | 4.14 | — | |||
| 7.0% | 14.29 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.45 | — | |||
| 9.4% | 10.65 | — | |||
| 12.2% | 8.21 | — | |||
| 14.9% | 6.69 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 23.64 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.46 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 52.2% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.63 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — |
Total goals
| 95.8% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 82.3% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 17.7% | 5.65 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — |
1st-half goals
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — |
Home team goals
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — |
Away team goals
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — |
Both to score
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — |
Corners
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 69.7% | 1.44 | — |
Home corners
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — |
Away corners
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.64 | — |
Cards
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.63 | — | |||
| 12.0% | 8.36 | — | |||
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 78.4% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 88.0% | 1.14 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds