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Fixtures / Bundesliga2 / 2026-11-07 12:30

Dresden – Greuther Furth

Home 51% 1.97 fair
Draw 22% 4.64 fair
Away 28% 3.6 fair
Expected Goals3.41
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score66%
Over 2.566%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 50.7% → 50.7% -0.0 pp
Draw 21.5% → 21.6% +0.1 pp
Away 27.8% → 27.8% -0.0 pp
Over 2.5 66.3% → 66.3% +0.0 pp
Both teams to score 65.6% → 65.6% -0.0 pp
Expected Goals 3.41 → 3.41 0.0
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.41
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.32 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.48 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

50.7% 1.97 —
21.6% 4.64 —
27.8% 3.6 —
72.2% 1.38 —
49.3% 2.03 —
78.5% 1.27 —

Half-time result

49.0% 2.04 —
31.6% 3.16 —
19.4% 5.17 —

Half-time double chance

80.7% 1.24 —
50.9% 1.96 —
68.4% 1.46 —

Both halves

16.0% 6.26 —

HT/FT

38.8% 2.58 —
7.2% 13.93 —
3.0% 33.0 —
10.0% 9.97 —
10.9% 9.13 —
10.6% 9.43 —
3.4% 29.33 —
14.1% 7.09 —

HT/FT double chance

67.0% 1.49 —
62.5% 1.6 —
31.8% 3.15 —
51.3% 1.95 —
57.8% 1.73 —
27.7% 3.61 —
26.2% 3.81 —
36.6% 2.73 —
39.1% 2.56 —

Total goals

96.5% 1.04 —
85.5% 1.17 —
66.3% 1.51 —
44.5% 2.25 —
14.5% 6.88 —
33.7% 2.97 —
55.5% 1.8 —

1st-half goals

83.1% 1.2 —
53.8% 1.86 —

Home team goals

86.2% 1.16 —
59.2% 1.69 —

Away team goals

75.9% 1.32 —
41.5% 2.41 —

Both to score

65.6% 1.52 —

Corners

75.7% 1.32 —
65.5% 1.53 —
55.1% 1.81 —
45.0% 2.22 —
35.1% 2.85 —
34.5% 2.9 —
44.9% 2.23 —
55.0% 1.82 —
64.9% 1.54 —

Home corners

74.3% 1.35 —
60.1% 1.67 —
45.7% 2.19 —

Away corners

66.4% 1.51 —
50.0% 2.0 —
35.6% 2.81 —

Cards

79.3% 1.26 —
63.0% 1.59 —
45.1% 2.22 —
29.9% 3.34 —
37.0% 2.7 —
54.9% 1.82 —
70.1% 1.43 —

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