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Fixtures / Bundesliga2 / 2026-11-28

Dresden – St Pauli

Home 37% 2.74 fair
Draw 26% 3.79 fair
Away 37% 2.7 fair
Expected Goals2.7
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.550%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 29.1% → 36.5% +7.4 pp
Draw 24.6% → 26.4% +1.7 pp
Away 46.3% → 37.1% -9.2 pp
Over 2.5 52.5% → 50.3% -2.2 pp
Both teams to score 55.5% → 54.9% -0.7 pp
Expected Goals 2.78 → 2.7 -0.08
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.7
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.09 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.73 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

36.5% 2.74 —
26.4% 3.79 —
37.1% 2.7 —
62.9% 1.59 —
63.5% 1.58 —
73.6% 1.36 —

Half-time result

31.2% 3.21 —
43.2% 2.32 —
25.7% 3.9 —

Half-time double chance

74.3% 1.35 —
68.8% 1.45 —
56.8% 1.76 —

Both halves

9.0% 11.14 —

HT/FT

22.1% 4.53 —
6.2% 16.05 —
12.5% 8.02 —
15.7% 6.36 —
15.0% 6.68 —
4.4% 22.68 —
19.3% 5.19 —

HT/FT double chance

56.5% 1.77 —
52.4% 1.91 —
39.8% 2.51 —
34.7% 2.88 —
46.2% 2.17 —
32.8% 3.05 —
34.6% 2.89 —
48.7% 2.05 —
54.4% 1.84 —

Total goals

93.0% 1.08 —
75.0% 1.33 —
50.3% 1.99 —
28.6% 3.49 —
25.0% 3.99 —
49.7% 2.01 —
71.4% 1.4 —

1st-half goals

68.2% 1.47 —
31.6% 3.17 —

Home team goals

73.8% 1.36 —
38.9% 2.57 —

Away team goals

74.1% 1.35 —
39.1% 2.55 —

Both to score

54.9% 1.82 —

Corners

73.3% 1.36 —
63.5% 1.57 —
53.0% 1.89 —
42.8% 2.34 —
33.4% 2.99 —
36.5% 2.74 —
47.0% 2.13 —
57.2% 1.75 —
66.6% 1.5 —

Home corners

67.9% 1.47 —
52.0% 1.92 —
36.8% 2.72 —

Away corners

70.3% 1.42 —
55.3% 1.81 —
40.9% 2.44 —

Cards

81.8% 1.22 —
66.5% 1.5 —
49.3% 2.03 —
33.8% 2.96 —
33.5% 2.99 —
50.7% 1.97 —
66.2% 1.51 —

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