Fixtures / Bundesliga2 / 2026-11-28
Dresden – St Pauli
Home
37%
2.74 fair
Draw
26%
3.79 fair
Away
37%
2.7 fair
Expected Goals2.7
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.550%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
29.1%
→
36.5%
+7.4 pp
Draw
24.6%
→
26.4%
+1.7 pp
Away
46.3%
→
37.1%
-9.2 pp
Over 2.5
52.5%
→
50.3%
-2.2 pp
Both teams to score
55.5%
→
54.9%
-0.7 pp
Expected Goals
2.78 →
2.7
-0.08
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 31.2% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.9 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — |
Both halves
| 9.0% | 11.14 | — |
HT/FT
| 22.1% | 4.53 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.05 | — | |||
| 12.5% | 8.02 | — | |||
| 15.7% | 6.36 | — | |||
| 15.0% | 6.68 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.68 | — | |||
| 19.3% | 5.19 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — |
Total goals
| 93.0% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.49 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 3.99 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — |
1st-half goals
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.17 | — |
Home team goals
| 73.8% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — |
Away team goals
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.55 | — |
Both to score
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — |
Corners
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — |
Home corners
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — |
Away corners
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.44 | — |
Cards
| 81.8% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds