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Fixtures / Bundesliga2 / 2026-10-24 11:30

Holstein Kiel – Dresden

Home 46% 2.16 fair
Draw 23% 4.28 fair
Away 30% 3.3 fair
Expected Goals3.05
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.559%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 46.3% → 46.3% 0.0 pp
Draw 23.4% → 23.4% 0.0 pp
Away 30.3% → 30.3% 0.0 pp
Over 2.5 58.8% → 58.8% 0.0 pp
Both teams to score 60.4% → 60.4% 0.0 pp
Expected Goals 3.05 → 3.05 0.0
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.05
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.86 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.18 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

46.3% 2.16 —
23.4% 4.28 —
30.3% 3.3 —
69.7% 1.44 —
53.7% 1.86 —
76.6% 1.3 —

Half-time result

30.6% 3.27 —
36.2% 2.76 —
33.2% 3.01 —

Half-time double chance

66.8% 1.5 —
69.4% 1.44 —
63.8% 1.57 —

Both halves

13.7% 7.33 —

HT/FT

25.9% 3.87 —
3.6% 27.47 —
16.2% 6.16 —
12.6% 7.94 —
7.3% 13.64 —
4.2% 23.75 —
7.1% 14.04 —
21.9% 4.57 —

HT/FT double chance

58.4% 1.71 —
50.5% 1.98 —
24.6% 4.06 —
40.8% 2.45 —
53.1% 1.88 —
33.8% 2.96 —
40.2% 2.49 —
49.7% 2.01 —
48.9% 2.04 —

Total goals

95.3% 1.05 —
80.9% 1.24 —
58.8% 1.7 —
36.3% 2.75 —
19.1% 5.24 —
41.2% 2.43 —
63.7% 1.57 —

1st-half goals

78.4% 1.28 —
45.8% 2.18 —

Home team goals

81.7% 1.22 —
51.0% 1.96 —

Away team goals

74.0% 1.35 —
38.7% 2.58 —

Both to score

60.4% 1.66 —

Corners

79.0% 1.27 —
70.6% 1.42 —
60.8% 1.64 —
50.3% 1.99 —
40.6% 2.46 —
29.4% 3.4 —
39.2% 2.55 —
49.7% 2.01 —
59.4% 1.68 —

Home corners

77.6% 1.29 —
63.9% 1.56 —
49.6% 2.02 —

Away corners

68.9% 1.45 —
53.4% 1.87 —
38.8% 2.58 —

Cards

85.8% 1.17 —
72.4% 1.38 —
56.5% 1.77 —
41.1% 2.43 —
27.6% 3.63 —
43.5% 2.3 —
58.9% 1.7 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds