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Fixtures / Bundesliga2 / 2026-10-24 11:30

Darmstadt – St Pauli

Home 33% 3.06 fair
Draw 26% 3.85 fair
Away 41% 2.42 fair
Expected Goals2.66
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.550%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 32.6% → 32.6% +0.0 pp
Draw 26.1% → 26.0% -0.2 pp
Away 41.3% → 41.4% +0.1 pp
Over 2.5 49.4% → 49.7% +0.3 pp
Both teams to score 53.9% → 54.0% +0.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.65 → 2.66 +0.01
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.66
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.09 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.74 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

32.6% 3.06 —
26.0% 3.85 —
41.4% 2.42 —
58.6% 1.71 —
67.3% 1.48 —
74.0% 1.35 —

Half-time result

20.3% 4.93 —
43.7% 2.29 —
36.0% 2.77 —

Half-time double chance

64.0% 1.56 —
79.7% 1.25 —
56.3% 1.78 —

Both halves

6.7% 14.97 —

HT/FT

14.9% 6.72 —
3.8% 26.6 —
14.4% 6.95 —
15.8% 6.33 —
13.5% 7.41 —
3.4% 29.59 —
6.4% 15.62 —
26.3% 3.81 —

HT/FT double chance

48.8% 2.05 —
44.4% 2.25 —
34.7% 2.88 —
28.4% 3.52 —
46.2% 2.17 —
38.1% 2.63 —
40.0% 2.5 —
57.5% 1.74 —
62.0% 1.61 —

Total goals

92.8% 1.08 —
74.1% 1.35 —
49.7% 2.01 —
27.8% 3.59 —
25.9% 3.86 —
50.3% 1.99 —
72.2% 1.39 —

1st-half goals

66.3% 1.51 —
29.5% 3.39 —

Home team goals

70.8% 1.41 —
35.1% 2.85 —

Away team goals

76.0% 1.32 —
41.6% 2.41 —

Both to score

54.0% 1.85 —

Corners

73.6% 1.36 —
63.6% 1.57 —
53.0% 1.89 —
42.6% 2.35 —
32.6% 3.07 —
36.4% 2.75 —
47.0% 2.13 —
57.4% 1.74 —
67.4% 1.48 —

Home corners

63.3% 1.58 —
47.2% 2.12 —
32.7% 3.06 —

Away corners

73.9% 1.35 —
59.6% 1.68 —
44.8% 2.23 —

Cards

81.8% 1.22 —
66.3% 1.51 —
49.7% 2.01 —
34.2% 2.93 —
33.7% 2.97 —
50.3% 1.99 —
65.8% 1.52 —

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