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Fixtures / Bundesliga2 / 2026-10-17 11:30

Holstein Kiel – Hertha

Home 38% 2.66 fair
Draw 25% 3.93 fair
Away 37% 2.71 fair
Expected Goals2.88
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.555%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 37.6% → 37.6% 0.0 pp
Draw 25.4% → 25.4% -0.0 pp
Away 36.9% → 36.9% 0.0 pp
Over 2.5 54.9% → 54.9% +0.0 pp
Both teams to score 58.5% → 58.5% 0.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.88 → 2.88 0.0
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.88
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.78 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.69 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

37.6% 2.66 —
25.4% 3.93 —
36.9% 2.71 —
63.1% 1.59 —
62.4% 1.6 —
74.6% 1.34 —

Half-time result

29.8% 3.36 —
39.4% 2.54 —
30.8% 3.25 —

Half-time double chance

69.2% 1.44 —
70.2% 1.42 —
60.6% 1.65 —

Both halves

9.9% 10.07 —

HT/FT

22.3% 4.48 —
5.3% 18.98 —
12.9% 7.73 —
14.6% 6.83 —
11.9% 8.42 —
5.5% 18.15 —
22.8% 4.38 —

HT/FT double chance

55.1% 1.81 —
49.3% 2.03 —
34.0% 2.94 —
35.5% 2.82 —
49.8% 2.01 —
35.8% 2.79 —
35.5% 2.82 —
50.0% 2.0 —
54.9% 1.82 —

Total goals

94.2% 1.06 —
78.2% 1.28 —
54.9% 1.82 —
32.8% 3.05 —
21.8% 4.59 —
45.1% 2.22 —
67.2% 1.49 —

1st-half goals

73.6% 1.36 —
38.2% 2.62 —

Home team goals

76.5% 1.31 —
42.4% 2.36 —

Away team goals

76.1% 1.31 —
41.9% 2.38 —

Both to score

58.5% 1.71 —

Corners

78.7% 1.27 —
69.7% 1.43 —
59.6% 1.68 —
49.6% 2.02 —
39.7% 2.52 —
30.3% 3.3 —
40.4% 2.47 —
50.4% 1.98 —
60.3% 1.66 —

Home corners

78.5% 1.27 —
65.1% 1.53 —
51.4% 1.94 —

Away corners

66.4% 1.51 —
50.2% 1.99 —
35.7% 2.8 —

Cards

89.1% 1.12 —
78.0% 1.28 —
63.8% 1.57 —
48.9% 2.04 —
22.0% 4.55 —
36.2% 2.76 —
51.1% 1.96 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds