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Fixtures / Bundesliga2 / 2026-10-17 11:30

Cottbus – Nurnberg

Home 54% 1.85 fair
Draw 18% 5.43 fair
Away 27% 3.65 fair
Expected Goals4.44
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score77%
Over 2.582%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 54.1% → 54.1% 0.0 pp
Draw 18.4% → 18.4% 0.0 pp
Away 27.4% → 27.4% 0.0 pp
Over 2.5 81.7% → 81.7% 0.0 pp
Both teams to score 77.4% → 77.4% 0.0 pp
Expected Goals 4.44 → 4.44 0.0
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 4.44
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.93 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.83 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

54.1% 1.85 —
18.4% 5.43 —
27.4% 3.65 —
72.6% 1.38 —
45.9% 2.18 —
81.6% 1.23 —

Half-time result

29.1% 3.43 —
30.6% 3.26 —
40.2% 2.49 —

Half-time double chance

59.8% 1.67 —
70.9% 1.41 —
69.3% 1.44 —

Both halves

17.6% 5.69 —

HT/FT

25.8% 3.88 —
18.2% 5.49 —
7.2% 13.81 —
5.2% 19.16 —
10.2% 9.81 —
8.7% 11.51 —
21.3% 4.69 —

HT/FT double chance

53.7% 1.86 —
50.1% 2.0 —
15.8% 6.31 —
47.1% 2.12 —
58.2% 1.72 —
33.4% 2.99 —
44.3% 2.26 —
54.9% 1.82 —
42.5% 2.35 —

Total goals

93.5% 1.07 —
81.7% 1.22 —
64.2% 1.56 —
6.5% 15.38 —
18.3% 5.46 —
35.8% 2.8 —

1st-half goals

86.0% 1.16 —
59.0% 1.69 —

Home team goals

92.2% 1.08 —
73.0% 1.37 —

Away team goals

84.1% 1.19 —
55.2% 1.81 —

Both to score

77.4% 1.29 —

Corners

79.7% 1.25 —
70.6% 1.42 —
61.0% 1.64 —
51.1% 1.96 —
41.1% 2.43 —
29.4% 3.4 —
39.0% 2.57 —
48.9% 2.04 —
58.9% 1.7 —

Home corners

79.9% 1.25 —
67.7% 1.48 —
53.5% 1.87 —

Away corners

66.1% 1.51 —
50.3% 1.99 —
35.2% 2.84 —

Cards

83.0% 1.21 —
67.8% 1.48 —
51.2% 1.95 —
35.2% 2.84 —
32.2% 3.1 —
48.8% 2.05 —
64.8% 1.54 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds