Fixtures / Belgium / 2026-11-08 17:30
St. Gilloise – Genk
Home
64%
1.57 fair
Draw
22%
4.6 fair
Away
15%
6.86 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
St. Gilloise – Genk
FINAL
Actual Result
1–0
St. Gilloise – Genk
Expected Goals2.6
Both teams to score44%
Over 2.548%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
64.8%
→
63.7%
-1.1 pp
Draw
21.1%
→
21.8%
+0.6 pp
Away
14.1%
→
14.6%
+0.5 pp
Over 2.5
48.8%
→
48.4%
-0.4 pp
Both teams to score
44.0%
→
44.1%
+0.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.63 →
2.6
-0.03
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 21.8% | 4.6 | — | |||
| 14.6% | 6.86 | — | |||
| 85.4% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — |
Half-time result
| 43.0% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 16.1% | 6.22 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 83.9% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — |
Both halves
| 22.8% | 4.38 | — |
HT/FT
| 39.3% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 31.45 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.72 | — | |||
| 14.1% | 7.08 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.99 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 31.06 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.47 | — | |||
| 8.4% | 11.86 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 77.8% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.26 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.01 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.07 | — |
Total goals
| 92.5% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.77 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.7 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — |
1st-half goals
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — |
Home team goals
| 84.1% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — |
Away team goals
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 17.3% | 5.77 | — |
Both to score
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — |
Corners
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 33.3% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.08 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — |
Home corners
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — |
Away corners
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.67 | — |
Cards
| 79.9% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds